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Don’t It Make Your Brown Eyes Blue?


Alex Clemens has maps!
Wanna be an election geek and see how Newsom v. Gonzalez played out on a precinct-by-precinct basis? Here you go. Wallow away.
There are a couple of things worth noting.
One, the Richmond looks like it’s becoming Newsom territory. On pollster-in-the-making David Latterman’s map, it’s blue. The bluer the precinct, the more Newsom votes. So Bayview/Hunters, which had low turnout, is only light blue (but Newsom should send Kamala Harris a big fat present for those votes ’cause she carried him). So are the Outer Mission and the Excelsior. It’s a nice baby hue. The color is deeper up in the Castro, Noe, Diamond Heights where turn out was particularly high. Orange, yellow and brown — where Newsom had a poor showing — dominate the center of the city.
The Chron wraps the same info (their map colors aren’t as nice, though) into a story about the death of the Brown-Burton machine.
Please. This machine had five people running as Democrats for the mayor’s office in the general election. Yeah. That’s a machine. A broken one.
More seriously, The Chron misses an interesting twist in this last election, one that’s going to be a whole lot more important in the future, particularly if you think we’re going to start casting votes on-line, turning on its head all the usual election day dynamics.
The Chron talks about the number of votes cast on election day as proof of Gonzalez’s ability to motivate people and his potential threat to Newsom. It’s impressive, certainly, that on election day, Gonzalez got a 10,000 vote lead over Newsom. But by election day, Newsom had already won by using mail-in ballots. The Chron refers to this as “absentees” which may be technically accurate but many of the people filing those ballots were here in town they just relied on the convenience of mail-in. So they didn’t need to go to the polls. In fact, if they had, it would have been illegal.
This is important because the Newsom campaign may well have changed the way San Francisco votes by relying so heavily on mail-ins particularly if they can convert these recent voters to permanent mail-ins. They’ve found a way to get a whole lot of people who don’t ordinarily make to the ballot box – ‘cause they’re stuck in Cupertino, maybe? – involved in the political process.
And that could be the beginnings of a new new thing.

Share  Posted by Chris Nolan at 7:55 PM | Permalink

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